Awards Season 2024

[The Narrator Returns]

Giving it all to Megalopolis would even be a little more adventurous than the taking-candy-from-a-baby of giving it to Madame Web. But also I like Madame Web more than I like Megalopolis, Dakota Johnson "winning" is yet another confirmation they obsessively read the press and never actually watch the movies.

[Altair]

Spoiler

Picture: Anora
Director: Sean Baker
Actress: Mikey Madison
Actor: Timothée Chalamet
Sup Actress: Zoe Saldaña
Sup Actor: Kieran Culkin
Original Screenplay: A Real Pain
Adapted Screenplay: Conclave
Animated Feature: The Wild Robot
International Film: I'm Still Here
Documentary Feature: No Other Land
Documentary Short: Girl in the Orchestra
Live Action Short: i'm Not a Robot
Animated Short: Yuck!
Music: The Brutalist
Song: El Mal
Sound: Dune Part 2
Production Design: Wicked
Cinematography: The Brutalist
Makeup: The Substance
Costume Design: Wicked
Editing: Anora
Visual Effects: Dune Part 2

[Brian C]

Giving it all to Megalopolis would even be a little more adventurous than the taking-candy-from-a-baby of giving it to Madame Web. But also I like Madame Web more than I like Megalopolis, Dakota Johnson "winning" is yet another confirmation they obsessively read the press and never actually watch the movies.

“Obsessively reads the press” seems like giving them way too much credit … the most these cretins do is half-listen to Hollywood gossip.

[ryannichols7]

I like your formatting so I'll jump on. and yes, I'll remind everyone of my biases before the Baker Bros say anything

Spoiler

Best Picture
Conclave

Best Director
Brady Corbet

Best Actress
Demi Moore

Best Actor
Timothee Chalamet

Best Supporting Actress
Zoe Saldaña

Best Supporting Actor
Kieran Culkin

Best Original Screenplay
The Substance

Best Adapted Screenplay
Conclave

Best International Feature
I’m Still Here

Best Animated Feature
Flow

Best Documentary
No Other Land

Best Cinematography
The Brutalist

Best Editing
The Brutalist

Best Costume Design
Wicked

Best Hair and Makeup
The Substance

Best Sound
Dune: Part Two

Best Visual Effects
Dune: Part Two

Best Production Design
Nosferatu

Best Song
The Journey

Best Score
Wicked

Best Animated Short
Beautiful Men

Best Short Documentary
Incident

Best Live Action Short
The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent

amended mine to switch to Isabella Rossellini. I have a weird feeling we're gonna see some wild upsets, just the way this season has gone

[domino harvey]

I struggled with whether to go for Conclave as Best Picture but if it wins, I do think Rossellini wins, so we'll know early. I also feel we're going to get a surprise or two, but we're due for a total WTF win so I picked the least likely one to take it for Supporting Actress because I still don't believe Saldana is undeniable in the sinking ship

[ryannichols7]

I struggled with whether to go for Conclave as Best Picture but if it wins, I do think Rossellini wins, so we'll know early. I also feel we're going to get a surprise or two, but we're due for a total WTF win so I picked the least likely one to take it for Supporting Actress because I still don't believe Saldana is undeniable in the sinking ship

that's what I'm thinking too. plus all the EP controversy was before voting started, which wasn't the case for a lot of the guilds. Saldana absolutely stands a good chance to be it's only win, but I could also see them going total shutout. the anonymous ballots mean nothing but I was stunned by how many picked Rossellini, which would be a lot of fun. I just decided to go with it, especially since Chalamet wouldn't be all that shocking after the SAG win

lots of people seem to think Fernanda Torres could be the big WTF win and I personally fear for comment and reply sections everywhere if that's the case. it makes sense, since she wasn't nominated in basically any other award so far, so maybe.. but I've stuck with Moore this entire time and will continue to do so, I'm Still Here snatching international feature handily is already a big enough win for it

[therewillbeblus]

amended mine to switch to Isabella Rossellini. I have a weird feeling we're gonna see some wild upsets, just the way this season has gone

Thanks for the alert, Ryan. I'll be combing through the last few pages of the thread just before the ceremony and altering your ballots based on any time-stamps I see, but it would be extremely helpful if folks can either bold/italicize/make some note of what your changes were, do what Ryan did, or PM me or something, just so I don't need to compare every category. This is only for those who change their predix

[domino harvey]

I'm not convinced there's any real movement for Torres as a viable alternative to Moore or Madison. The last international winner in this category was Cotillard and she had a lot of industry support in Hollywood leading up to the win, which I haven't really seen as fully for Torres

[domino harvey]

Emilia Perez won Best Picture, Director, and a bunch more at the Cesars (but no acting awards)

[soundchaser]

Changing my vote for Editing to Conclave - seems like it's got a broader appeal than I anticipated. If it wins there, Best Picture will start to get interesting very quickly.

[bearcuborg]

I haven't watched a full on Academy Award ceremony since I waited for Robert Altman's lifetime achievement award. And afterJoan passed away, I failed to keep up with red carpet coverage. But I am somewhat curious to see a perpetual goof like Conan awkwardly seque to somber wildfire coverage, or the memorial death reel. Not sure I've ever seen him be serious. Jay Leno bumping him for segment would be a funny way to cap off the storyline once and for all.

[beamish14]

I haven't watched a full on Academy Award ceremony since I waited for Robert Altman's lifetime achievement award. And afterJoan passed away, I failed to keep up with red carpet coverage. But I am somewhat curious to see a perpetual goof like Conan awkwardly seque to somber wildfire coverage, or the memorial death reel. Not sure I've ever seen him be serious. Jay Leno bumping him for segment would be a funny way to cap off the storyline once and for all.

I’d be optimistic if it was the Conan of 1995-2000ish, not the sad, flailing, variety show-obsessed one we have today

I also eagerly awaited that Altman award. What a spectacular montage they cut for him

[TechnicolorAcid]

I am excited to hopefully not fail

Picture: Anora
Director: Sean Baker
Actress: Demi Moore
Actor: Adrien Brody
Sup Actress: Zoe Saldaña
Sup Actor: Kieran Culkin
Original Screenplay: A Real Pain
Adapted Screenplay: Conclave
Animated Feature: The Wild Robot
International Film: I'm Still Here
Documentary Feature: No Other Land
Documentary Short: The Only Girl in the Orchestra
Live Action Short: A Lien
Animated Short: Yuck!
Music: The Brutalist
Song: El Mal
Sound: Dune Part 2
Production Design: Wicked
Cinematography: The Brutalist
Makeup: The Substance
Costume Design: Wicked
Editing: Conclave
Visual Effects: Dune Part 2

[bottlesofsmoke]

Spoiler

Best Picture: Anora
Best Director: Brady Corbet
Best Actor: Adrien Brody
Best Actress: Mikey Madison
Best Supporting Actor: Kieran Culkin
Best Supporting Actress: Zoe Saldana
Best Original Screenplay: Anora
Best Adapted Screenplay: Conclave

Best Animated Feature: The Wild Robot
Best International Feature: Emilia Pérez
Best Documentary Feature: No Other Land
Best Documentary Short: I am Ready, Warden
Best Live Action Short: A Lien
Best Animated Short: Wander to Wonder
Best Original Score: The Brutalist
Best Original Song: “El Mal”

Best Sound: A Complete Unknown
Best Production Design: Conclave
Best Cinematography: The Brutalist
Best Costume Design: Nosferatu
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: The Substance
Best Editing: Conclave
Best Visual Effects: Dune: Part Two

[therewillbeblus]

I've updated the original post, but if people could make any changes by 5pm EST (rather than 7pm, as previously stated), that would be awesome. I won't be checking updated lists past then. Sorry for any inconvenience

[therewillbeblus]

Maybe this was known already but I just found out that, as a first, all Hulu subscribers can live stream the ceremony tonight, regardless of your plan

[Computer Raheem]

COMPUTER RAHEEM'S VERY VERY LATE 97th OSCARS WIN PREDICTIONS

Best Picture - Anora (Alex Coco, Samantha Quan and Sean Baker, producers)
Best Director - Brady Corbet (The Brutalist)
Best Actor - Adrien Brody (The Brutalist)
Best Actress - Demi Moore (The Substance)
Best Supporting Actor - Kieran Culkin (A Real Pain)
Best Supporting Actress - Zoe Saldaña (Emilia Pérez)
Best Original Screenplay - Anora (Sean Baker)
Best Adapted Screenplay - Conclave (Peter Straughen, based on the novel by Robert Harris)
Best Animated Feature - The Wild Robot (Chris Sanders and Jeff Hermann)
Best International Feature Film - I’m Still Here (Brazil, in Portuguese - directed by Walter Salles)
Best Documentary Feature Film - No Other Land (Basel Adra, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal and Yuval Abraham)
Best Documentary Short Film - Incident (Bill Morrison and Jamie Kalven)
Best Live Action Short Film - A Lien (Sam Cutler-Kreutz and Daivd Cutler-Kreutz)
Best Animated Short Film - Magic Candies (Daisuke Nishio and Takashi Washio)
Best Original Score - The Brutalist (Daniel Blumberg)
Best Original Song - “The Journey” from The Six Triple Eight (music and lyrics by Diane Warren)
Best Sound - Dune: Part Two (Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill)
Best Production Design - Wicked (Nathan Crowley and Lee Sandales)
Best Cinematography - The Brutalist (Lol Crawley)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling - The Substance (Pierre-Oliver Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli)
Best Costume Design - Wicked (Paul Tazewell)
Best Film Editing - Conclave (Nick Emerson)
Best Visual Effects - Dune: Part Two (Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer)

[Peacock]

Best Documentary Feature has got to be No Other Land.

[criterionoop]

My Predictions (Including Predicted Winners, Potential Spoilers, and Personal Rankings of Nominees)

PREDICTED WINNERS:

Spoiler

Best Picture:
ANORA (Alex Coco, Samantha Quan and Sean Baker, Producers)

Best Director:
Brady Corbet, THE BRUTALIST

Best Actor in a Leading Role:
Adrien Brody, THE BRUTALIST

Best Actress in a Leading Role:
Demi Moore, THE SUBSTANCE

Best Actor in a Supporting Role:
Kieran Culkin, A REAL PAIN

Best Actress in a Supporting Role:
Zoe Saldaña, EMILIA PÉREZ

Best Animated Feature Film:
FLOW (Gints Zilbalodis, Matīss Kaža, Ron Dyens and Gregory Zalcman)

Best Animated Short Film:
“Yuck!” (Loïc Espuche and Juliette Marquet)

Best Cinematography:
THE BRUTALIST (Lol Crawley)

Best Costume Design:
WICKED (Paul Tazewell)

Best Documentary Feature Film:
NO OTHER LAND (Basel Adra, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal and Yuval Abraham)

Best Documentary Short Film:
“Incident” (Bill Morrison and Jamie Kalven)

Best Film Editing:
CONCLAVE (Nick Emerson)

Best International Feature Film:
I’M STILL HERE (Brazil)

Best Live Action Short Film:
“A Lien” (Sam Cutler-Kreutz and David Cutler-Kreutz)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
THE SUBSTANCE (Pierre-Olivier Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli)

Best Music (Original Score):
THE BRUTALIST (Daniel Blumberg)

Best Music (Original Song):
“El Mal” from EMILIA PÉREZ (Music by Clément Ducol and Camille; Lyric by Clément Ducol, Camille and Jacques Audiard)

Best Production Design:
WICKED (Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Lee Sandales)

Best Sound:
DUNE: PART TWO (Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill)

Best Visual Effects:
DUNE: PART TWO (Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer)

Writing (Adapted Screenplay):
CONCLAVE (Screenplay by Peter Straughan)

Best Writing (Original Screenplay):
A REAL PAIN (Written by Jesse Eisenberg)

SPOILERS:
(if Predicted Winners lose)

Spoiler

Best Picture:
CONCLAVE (Tessa Ross, Juliette Howell and Michael A. Jackman, Producers)

Best Director:
Sean Baker, ANORA

Best Actor in a Leading Role:
Timothée Chalamet, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN

Best Actress in a Leading Role:
Fernanda Torres, I’M STILL HERE

Best Actor in a Supporting Role:
Jeremy Strong, THE APPRENTICE

Best Actress in a Supporting Role:
Ariana Grande, WICKED

Best Animated Feature Film:
THE WILD ROBOT (Chris Sanders and Jeff Hermann)

Best Animated Short Film:
“Wander to Wonder” (Nina Gantz and Stienette Bosklopper)

Best Cinematography:
NOSFERATU (Jarin Blaschke)

Best Costume Design:
CONCLAVE (Lisy Christl)

Best Documentary Feature Film:
PORCELAIN WAR (Brendan Bellomo, Slava Leontyev, Aniela Sidorska and Paula DuPre’ Pesmen)

Best Documentary Short Film:
“The Only Girl in the Orchestra” (Molly O’Brien and Lisa Remington)

Best Film Editing:
THE BRUTALIST (David Jancso)

Best International Feature Film:
EMILIA PÉREZ (France)

Best Live Action Short Film:
“The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent” (Nebojša Slijepčević and Danijel Pek)

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
WICKED (Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth)

Best Music (Original Score):
CONCLAVE (Volker Bertelmann)

Best Music (Original Song):
“The Journey” from THE SIX TRIPLE EIGHT (Music and Lyric by Diane Warren)

Best Production Design:
THE BRUTALIST (Production Design: Judy Becker; Set Decoration: Patricia Cuccia)

Best Sound:
A COMPLETE UNKNOWN (Tod A. Maitland, Donald Sylvester, Ted Caplan, Paul Massey and David Giammarco)

Best Visual Effects:
KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES (Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke)

Writing (Adapted Screenplay):
NICKEL BOYS (Screenplay by RaMell Ross & Joslyn Barnes)

Best Writing (Original Screenplay):
ANORA (Written by Sean Baker)

MY PERSONAL RANKINGS OF THE NOMINEES BY CATEGORY:
(First is favorite, fifth is least favorite; for BP, tenth is least favorite)

Spoiler

Best Picture:
1. THE BRUTALIST – Nick Gordon, Brian Young, Andrew Morrison, D.J. Gugenheim and Brady Corbet, Producers
2. THE SUBSTANCE – Coralie Fargeat and Tim Bevan & Eric Fellner, Producers
3. I’M STILL HERE – Maria Carlota Bruno and Rodrigo Teixeira, Producers
4. CONCLAVE – Tessa Ross, Juliette Howell and Michael A. Jackman, Producers
5. DUNE: PART TWO – Mary Parent, Cale Boyter, Tanya Lapointe and Denis Villeneuve, Producers
6. WICKED – Marc Platt, Producer
7. A COMPLETE UNKNOWN – Fred Berger, James Mangold and Alex Heineman, Producers
8. ANORA – Alex Coco, Samantha Quan and Sean Baker, Producers
9. NICKEL BOYS – Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner and Joslyn Barnes, Producers
10. EMILIA PÉREZ – Pascal Caucheteux and Jacques Audiard, Producers

Best Director:
1. Brady Corbet, THE BRUTALIST
2. Coralie Fargeat, THE SUBSTANCE
3. James Mangold, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
4. Sean Baker, ANORA
5. Jacques Audiard, EMILIA PÉREZ

Best Actor in a Leading Role:
1. Adrien Brody, THE BRUTALIST
2. Ralph Fiennes, CONCLAVE
3. Sebastian Stan, THE APPRENTICE
4. Timothée Chalamet, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
5. Colman Domingo, SING SING

Best Actress in a Leading Role:
1. Fernanda Torres, I’M STILL HERE
2. Demi Moore, THE SUBSTANCE
3. Cynthia Erivo, WICKED
4. Mikey Madison, ANORA
5. Karla Sofía Gascón, EMILIA PÉREZ

Best Actor in a Supporting Role:
1. Guy Pearce, THE BRUTALIST
2. Yura Borisov, ANORA
3. Jeremy Strong, THE APPRENTICE
4. Kieran Culkin, A REAL PAIN
5. Edward Norton, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN

Best Actress in a Supporting Role:
1. Isabella Rossellini, CONCLAVE
2. Ariana Grande, WICKED
3. Felicity Jones, THE BRUTALIST
4. Monica Barbaro, A COMPLETE UNKNOWN
5. Zoe Saldaña, EMILIA PÉREZ

Best Animated Feature Film:
1. MEMOIR OF A SNAIL – Adam Elliot and Liz Kearney
2. FLOW – Gints Zilbalodis, Matīss Kaža, Ron Dyens and Gregory Zalcman
3. WALLACE & GROMIT: VENGEANCE MOST FOWL – Nick Park, Merlin Crossingham and Richard Beek
4. THE WILD ROBOT – Chris Sanders and Jeff Hermann
5. INSIDE OUT 2 – Kelsey Mann and Mark Nielsen

Best Animated Short Film:
1. “Magic Candies” – Daisuke Nishio and Takashi Washio
2. “Wander to Wonder” – Nina Gantz and Stienette Bosklopper
3. “Yuck!” – Loïc Espuche and Juliette Marquet
4. “Beautiful Men” – Nicolas Keppens and Brecht Van Elslande
5. “In the Shadow of the Cypress” – Shirin Sohani and Hossein Molayemi

Best Cinematography:
1. THE BRUTALIST – Lol Crawley
2. MARIA – Ed Lachman
3. NOSFERATU – Jarin Blaschke
4. DUNE: PART TWO – Greig Fraser
5. EMILIA PÉREZ – Paul Guilhaume

Best Costume Design:
1. WICKED – Paul Tazewell
2. CONCLAVE – Lisy Christl
3. NOSFERATU – Linda Muir
4. GLADIATOR II – Janty Yates and Dave Crossman
5. A COMPLETE UNKNOWN – Arianne Phillips

Best Documentary Feature Film:
1. BLACK BOX DIARIES – Shiori Ito, Eric Nyari and Hanna Aqvilin
2. NO OTHER LAND – Basel Adra, Rachel Szor, Hamdan Ballal and Yuval Abraham
3. PORCELAIN WAR – Brendan Bellomo, Slava Leontyev, Aniela Sidorska and Paula DuPre’ Pesmen
4. SUGARCANE – Julian Brave NoiseCat, Emily Kassie and Kellen Quinn
5. SOUNDTRACK TO A COUP D’ETAT – Johan Grimonprez, Daan Milius and Rémi Grellety

Best Documentary Short Film:
1. “Incident” – Bill Morrison and Jamie Kalven
2. “Instruments of a Beating Heart” – Ema Ryan Yamazaki and Eric Nyari
3. “The Only Girl in the Orchestra” – Molly O’Brien and Lisa Remington
4. “I Am Ready, Warden” – Smriti Mundhra and Maya Gnyp
5. “Death by Numbers” – Kim A. Snyder and Janique L. Robillard

Best Film Editing:
1. CONCLAVE – Nick Emerson
2. THE BRUTALIST – David Jancso
3. WICKED – Myron Kerstein
4. ANORA – Sean Baker
5. EMILIA PÉREZ – Juliette Welfling

Best International Feature Film:
1. I’M STILL HERE – Brazil
2. FLOW – Latvia
3. THE GIRL WITH THE NEEDLE – Denmark
4. THE SEED OF THE SACRED FIG – Germany
5. EMILIA PÉREZ – France

Best Live Action Short Film:
1. “I’m Not a Robot” – Victoria Warmerdam and Trent
2. “The Man Who Could Not Remain Silent” – Nebojša Slijepčević and Danijel Pek
3. “A Lien” – Sam Cutler-Kreutz and David Cutler-Kreutz
4. “Anuja” – Adam J. Graves and Suchitra Mattai
5. “The Last Ranger” – Cindy Lee and Darwin Shaw

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
1. THE SUBSTANCE – Pierre-Olivier Persin, Stéphanie Guillon and Marilyne Scarselli
2. WICKED – Frances Hannon, Laura Blount and Sarah Nuth
3. NOSFERATU – David White, Traci Loader and Suzanne Stokes-Munton
4. A DIFFERENT MAN – Mike Marino, David Presto and Crystal Jurado
5. EMILIA PÉREZ – Julia Floch Carbonel, Emmanuel Janvier and Jean-Christophe Spadaccini

Best Music (Original Score):
1. THE BRUTALIST – Daniel Blumberg
2. CONCLAVE – Volker Bertelmann
3. WICKED – John Powell and Stephen Schwartz
4. THE WILD ROBOT – Kris Bowers
5. EMILIA PÉREZ – Clément Ducol and Camille

Best Music (Original Song):
1. “The Journey” from THE SIX TRIPLE EIGHT – Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
2. “Mi Camino” from EMILIA PÉREZ – Music and Lyric by Camille and Clément Ducol
3. “Like A Bird” from SING SING – Music and Lyric by Abraham Alexander and Adrian Quesada
4. “El Mal” from EMILIA PÉREZ – Music by Clément Ducol and Camille; Lyric by Clément Ducol, Camille and Jacques Audiard
5. “Never Too Late” from ELTON JOHN: NEVER TOO LATE – Music and Lyric by Elton John, Brandi Carlile, Andrew Watt and Bernie Taupin

Best Production Design:
1. THE BRUTALIST – Production Design: Judy Becker; Set Decoration: Patricia Cuccia
2. WICKED – Production Design: Nathan Crowley; Set Decoration: Lee Sandales
3. CONCLAVE – Production Design: Suzie Davies; Set Decoration: Cynthia Sleiter
4. DUNE: PART TWO – Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau
5. NOSFERATU – Production Design: Craig Lathrop; Set Decoration: Beatrice Brentnerová

Best Sound:
1. DUNE: PART TWO – Gareth John, Richard King, Ron Bartlett and Doug Hemphill
2. A COMPLETE UNKNOWN – Tod A. Maitland, Donald Sylvester, Ted Caplan, Paul Massey and David Giammarco
3. WICKED – Simon Hayes, Nancy Nugent Title, Jack Dolman, Andy Nelson and John Marquis
4. THE WILD ROBOT – Randy Thom, Brian Chumney, Gary A. Rizzo and Leff Lefferts
5. EMILIA PÉREZ – Erwan Kerzanet, Aymeric Devoldère, Maxence Dussère, Cyril Holtz and Niels Barletta

Best Visual Effects:
1. DUNE: PART TWO – Paul Lambert, Stephen James, Rhys Salcombe and Gerd Nefzer
2. KINGDOM OF THE PLANET OF THE APES – Erik Winquist, Stephen Unterfranz, Paul Story and Rodney Burke
3. BETTER MAN – Luke Millar, David Clayton, Keith Herft and Peter Stubbs
4. WICKED – Pablo Helman, Jonathan Fawkner, David Shirk and Paul Corbould
5. ALIEN: ROMULUS – Eric Barba, Nelson Sepulveda-Fauser, Daniel Macarin and Shane Mahan

Writing (Adapted Screenplay):
1. CONCLAVE – Screenplay by Peter Straughan
2. A COMPLETE UNKNOWN – Screenplay by James Mangold and Jay Cocks
3. SING SING – Screenplay by Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar; Story by Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield
4. NICKEL BOYS – Screenplay by RaMell Ross & Joslyn Barnes
5. EMILIA PÉREZ – Screenplay by Jacques Audiard; In collaboration with Thomas Bidegain, Léa Mysius and Nicolas Livecchi

Best Writing (Original Screenplay):
1. THE BRUTALIST – Written by Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold
2. THE SUBSTANCE – Written by Coralie Fargeat
3. A REAL PAIN – Written by Jesse Eisenberg
4. ANORA – Written by Sean Baker
5. SEPTEMBER 5 – Written by Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum; Co-Written by Alex David

[soundchaser]

Best Documentary Feature has got to be No Other Land.

It feels like an inevitable winner, but I’m a little skeptical. It still has no U.S. distribution, and it’s not swept the precursors. I’m sticking my neck out that it’s going to lose, and I’ll feel a little foolish if it doesn’t, but something about that category keeps nagging at me.

[geoffcowgill]

Spoiler

Best Picture
Anora

Best Director
Sean Baker

Best Actress
Demi Moore

Best Actor
Adrien Brody

Best Supporting Actress
Monica Barbaro

Best Supporting Actor
Kieran Culkin

Best Original Screenplay
Anora

Best Adapted Screenplay
Conclave

Best International Feature
I’m Still Here

Best Animated Feature
The Wild Robot

Best Documentary
No Other Land

Best Cinematography
The Brutalist

Best Editing
The Brutalist

Best Costume Design
Wicked

Best Hair and Makeup
The Substance

Best Sound
A Complete Unknown

Best Visual Effects
Dune: Part Two

Best Production Design
The Brutalist

Best Song
"The Journey"

Best Score
The Brutalist

Best Animated Short
Magic Candies

Best Short Documentary
Death By Numbers

Best Live Action Short
A Lien

[therewillbeblus]

Really thrilled with how many people are 'playing' this year, over double last year's turnout!

[ryannichols7]

amended mine to switch to Isabella Rossellini. I have a weird feeling we're gonna see some wild upsets, just the way this season has gone

Thanks for the alert, Ryan. I'll be combing through the last few pages of the thread just before the ceremony and altering your ballots based on any time-stamps I see, but it would be extremely helpful if folks can either bold/italicize/make some note of what your changes were, do what Ryan did, or PM me or something, just so I don't need to compare every category. This is only for those who change their predix

you're welcome. I did it again, notably switching editing to Conclave (not sure how I missed the first time?) and I'm actually gonna say it...I have a feeling Baker wins director but the movie wins nothing else, ala Power of the Dog with Campion a few years ago. Corbet is probably gonna win, I was originally very confident, but I feel like taking a gamble there. I still have quite a bet on The Substance taking original screenplay too...I think they're gonna award its originality, and that's an easy way for them to do so. but the screenplay winners feel very locked in

also after finally seeing it, I stand firm by Rossellini, if nothing else because she gives a genuine supporting performance. Saldana is blatant category fraud, and between the Gascon controversy and category fraud, I really think we could see Rossellini squeak this out

I'm not convinced there's any real movement for Torres as a viable alternative to Moore or Madison. The last international winner in this category was Cotillard and she had a lot of industry support in Hollywood leading up to the win, which I haven't really seen as fully for Torres

I definitely agree, but that point made about it not being in competition with the others yet did kinda make sense, but Cotillard was a wholly different level. I predicted Penelope Cruz a few years ago for Parallel Mothers and obviously that got zero traction too. Moore feels like she has this in the bag, with Madison as a secondary.

Changing my vote for Editing to Conclave - seems like it's got a broader appeal than I anticipated. If it wins there, Best Picture will start to get interesting very quickly.

after seeing the movie finally, I see exactly why it has the broad appeal it does. not only does it feel like a BP winner, it should win BP. tonight could be a lot more fun than I ever expected when I initially posted on page 2 of this thread!

[thirtyframesasecond]

Isn't Gal Gadot awarding the Best Documentary Feature? Should be a laugh if so.

[ryannichols7]

Isn't Gal Gadot awarding the Best Documentary Feature? Should be a laugh if so.

I believe that is only a twitter joke, but would be a riot if it happens. No Other Land would be an all time significant winner

Really thrilled with how many people are 'playing' this year, over double last year's turnout!

we are also three pages longer than last year, and it's funny since last year was one of the more well regarded years too. I guess we knew Oppenheimer had more in the bag there

a good pool for next year would be betting on Best Picture presenter. hoping for June Squibb on that one